The seasoned pollster will tell you that if elections were held today, Barack Obama will definitely win. The pollster's prediction is of course based on current survey results which say that Obama is leading McCain by a wide margin. Most of us will say otherwise because of the notion that surveys are unreliable and can in fact be manipulated. Others will say that surveys are self-serving. We are all entitled to our own opinion on the current political exercise. After all America is a free country and everyone is free to say his piece.
But surveys are generally reliable especially if they are conducted based on scientific procedures. Gallup Polls for example is one company that is known historically to have predicted the result of past presidential elections. Even before the actual counting of votes, Gallup through their traditional exit poll service will tell you the winner.
Setting aside the traditional survey results, no one can really say for sure that Obama is a sure winner. There are so many factors that can influence the decision of the electorate between now and election time But on the basis of the result of the recent campaigns by both candidates, an objective list of strength and weaknesses of the contenting candidates, have been established. One of the strong points that Obama has been using to his advantage is the fact that he was able to project himself among the electorate, as a young and visionary candidate that America needs today. And because of his youth, he was able to influence the younger population to embrace his program of government. I believe that his being a young, educated and energetic candidate as successfully projected among the young voters by his handlers, will carry him to inevitable victory. Pro McCain voters however say that Barack is too inexperienced to lead America in this critical time.
On the other hand, the older and more conservative Americans will probably go for McCain. Surveys say that the elders will count and consider experience as one of the strengths that he has over Obama. But then again, a substantial part of the voting population believes that McCain is just too old for the job and that he may not be able to stand the rigors of the Presidency.
I agree with the popular writer Nelson Doyle that Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States of America. Whatever reason Nelson has for predicting Obama's victory, he won't tell us.
