I watch the History, Weather and National Geographic Channels. At one time I considered them good sources of information but over the last few months I am starting to question if the programs they produce are based on science or if they are based on what sells. Believe me, these are not the only entities I ask this about. I have asked this about many who claim to speak for God in the church. Please understand I believe in God. I am just not sure that many of those who claim to speak for Him actually do. I have asked it about those who claim to report the news. And I am sure that quite a few of those who claim to scientists actually are playing to the dollar more than to science or better to truth.
In a song Johnny Cash asked the question, "What is truth?" One thing I am sure of, it is the scientist benefits from what he claims to be reporting, we need to have someone check!
So how does the scientist benefit? Grants for research. Publishing papers that draw fame and attention to the scientist. Honors that bring promotion and pay raises in academia.
When I was in grade school I learned that science was to be about truth, not popularity. Two plus two are four, no matter how many liberals or conservatives say it isn't or how many scientific papers say otherwise. And papers no longer get the independent peer review they once got. The scientific community has become so much like the Borg Collective with individuals not having independent thoughts that any paper that is blessed by those in power is not even questioned. The scientific community has become like the Catholic Church of Luther's day with no questioning allowed. Although I disagree with some points in both Luther's ninety nine theses and Ben Stine's "No Intelligence Allowed", I am sure that at least Ben would give me the right to independently review the movie and comment. I am also convinced that the character of both men would cause either of them to recant any position that was proven to be wrong. This is how it should be in the scientific community. But if you question global warming or if you indicate there may be some truth in intelligent design, the scientific community will step on you with greater force than the Catholic Church attacked Luther. It is a holy war to stamp out the dissidents. But it has been those very dissidents that forged ahead science in the past. It was the ones who said the earth was not flat (the accepted religious and scientific view of the day) who pushed ahead. It was those who thought the atom was made up of smaller particles and could be split (contrary to the accepted view of the atom being un-splittable) who forged ahead there. Most advances have been impeded by the current establishment!
Over the last several weeks I have seen dozens of programs on future disasters like global warming, massive earthquakes, volcano eruptions, asteroids, massive storms, tsunamis, mud slides, and the like. And all of those programs featured scientists who predicted the doom. I wonder how much each of them was paid for their appearance. I wonder how much that money clouded their judgment and how it much consideration was given to making it more salable, that is sensational. Another way of saying that is to ask, "How far did it stray from truth?"
Last night I encountered another program, "The Big Chill, the mini-Ice Age." This ice age, a significant change in climate occurred from about 1350 to 1850. It caused famine, disease, wars, and political upheaval. It is believed to have figured in the defeats of Napoleon in Russia and the Spanish Armada in the English Channel. And the conclusion was this, "Could this happen again?" Of course, the scientists say, "possibly." Heck, nearly anything is possible but it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for a man to tell the truth when coloring it brings him money. If he says, "no", there will be no grant money to study it.
I have no doubt the little ice age occurred. There is too much evidence that it did to ignore it. But HOW it happened is up for grabs. And now there is a market for the global cooling crowd and a possible stream of money from government to study it and determine if we are going into an ice age! There is gold in them thar glaciers!
Let's look at the inconsistencies, not including the one that is obvious about all of this, if the Hollywood ilk, the environazis and the Gore Party Politicos believed there was global warming they would shut down their oversized air conditioned homes, fly commercial or take a train, and live like they want he rest of us to live. These people don't believe in global warming. They talk a talk but they don't walk the walk. In the church we call them hypocrites.
Climate change is a natural process, a cyclical event that the earth goes through. We are currently in the midst of a interglacial period. It is only a matter of time until we get plunged into a full scale ice age. It may be a week from now, it may be 5000 years from now. We don't know how long it takes to go from one extreme to the other, as there are no definite records of that time. My advice, don't spend time and money on trying to predict the future, chances are you are wrong.