What are the odds of mccain continuing the tradition of traditional, white presidents?
In one sentence, not likely, based on the latest polls. Still, it's worth taking a look at how many people believe that McCain has a shot on November 4 and how many people don't. Honestly, it's shocking to read how many people think that McCain and Palin can still pull this off with only 1 day remaining.
According to RNC deputy chairman Frank Donatelli, “I don't think it's a long shot. It's a realistic shot. I don't think it's outrageous to think (that) we are going to do much better with party turnout than most of the models indicate”. So, Donatelli believes that McCain has a shot.
According to Ed Goes, a Republican who is also a McCain advisor, “I've been saying for some time that from our polling, I think it's much tighter, a 3-point national race on Friday. I think (that) this race is going to be extremely tight”. So, Goes believes that McCain has a shot too.
According to a top McCain pollster, Bill McInturff, in a conference call last week, “All signs say (that) we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday”. This is a statistical analysis and Bill, sorry to disappoint you, but the polls don't agree with you.
According to McCain campaign manager Rick Davis in an interview on Sunday with ABC, if suburban and rural voters “haven't bought into the Obama massage…, they're probably not gonna. We are witnessing, I believe, one of the greatest comebacks that you've ever seen since John McCain won the (Republican) primary”. Hey, Rick, at least Obama doesn't own 4 properties and can't tell where they are while a lot of us are struggling to keep our homes. This indicates that your boss is out of touch.
According to conservative analyst Bill Krystal, in an interview with Fox News on Sunday, “Obama has many paths to victory while McCain only has one narrow path, but you only need one narrow path”. OK, Krystal is trying to remain optimistic, but it's unlikely that McCain will be able to squeeze through this “narrow path”.
According to Yahoo!, however, “Most election watchers, however, are deeply skeptical - including some close to McCain”. This isn't a good sign for McCain, yet again.
According to a longtime McCain friend, John Weaver, a top strategist for McCain's 2000 presidential campaign, “As much as I would want to see a Dewey-defeats-Truman moment, it's next-to-impossible for me to see how that occurs mathematically as well as organizationally”. There, we have it. As much as McCain's friends and allies want him to win tomorrow (November 4), it just doesn't seem to be going the way they want. According to the latest Yahoo! poll/survey, Obama leads McCain by a margin of 51.6% to 44.3%, although McCain's support has increased since this report was last updated. Rounding this off, Obama's lead over McCain is 52-44, an 8-point difference which is impossible to make up in less than 1 day.
